I will start this write-up with a quote from an interview that was granted by Margaret Thatcher, the former Iron Lady British Prime Minister to the Newsweek magazine on September 2, 1991. In that interview she said ''the lesson of this century is that countries put together artificially will fall apart. National identities will not be suppressed". Three possible human events may take place any moment from now in Nigeria as she moves into the future surrounded with huge and divisive national crises. The Federal Republic of Nigeria is now showing clearly all the important signs and the true symptoms of a failed country in the making.
The possibility of a mass-based, grass root powered and peoples' oriented revolution that will cut across all the Nigeria's six geopolitical zones, ethnic nationalities and religious groups with the primary purpose of removing the present rotten, inefficient and corrupt political and economic status quo is getting remote day in and day out as a result of the rising ethnic loyalties, cultural identities and religious divisions amongst the suffering 160 million ordinary Nigerians.
The possibility of a military coup de tat that will come from a group of highly ambitious military officers who believe that they are the true Messiahs who can save the rapidly deteriorating Nigerian state is very possible if the current insecurity of life and properties continue to deteriorate to the point that the central government in Abuja does no longer have the full control of the situations on the ground as well as the real legitimacy over the major part of the Nigerian territories. The military take-over if it ever happened in all reality will surely be heavily confronted with armed insurrections from the heavily armed Boko Haram in the Northern Nigeria and the several militant groups in the Niger Delta as well as across the entire Nigerian federation.
The last major human event that will shape or change the destiny of Nigeria may take place when the present situations today go from bad to worst. This development may force the United Nations and the western powers with their deep economic interests in Nigeria to force the central government in Abuja to immediately convene the much needed Referendum or the Sovereign National Conference of all the ethnic nationalities, religious faiths and the pressure groups in Nigeria. This internationally engineered conference or referendum will then decide the future of the Nigerian state either through a confederacy of her six geopolitical zones for more autonomy or the final secession of her ethnic nationalities into many independent smaller nations based on the international principle of self-determination of the Nigeria's 450 ethnic nationalities and her two major religious groups (Christianity and Islam).
No comments:
Post a Comment