"PRESIDENT JONATHAN GOODLUCK OF NIGERIA HAS A BIG POLITICAL HURDLE TO OVERCOME BEFORE 2015"

The controversies that followed the recent election of Rotimi Amaechi as the popular and the majority choice of the Nigerian governors to be their new Chairman in the Nigerian Governors' Forum (NGF) showed that President Jonathan Goodluck does not have the true loyalty of the entire PDP governors behind him now and most likely in 2015. The questionable suspension of governor Rotimi Amaechi of Rivers State and Wamakko of Sokoto State respectively by President Goodluck's controlled PDP executive council will continue to divide and to fracture the PDP toward the year 2015. A house that is divided against itself can never stand. The recent explosive revelation by Lai Mohammed of the opposition ACN/APC that about 13 PDP governors have already indicated their interests to join the APC very soon is another huge political blow to the PDP and its future in 2015 under the presidency of Jonathan Goodluck.

The final outcome of the military action and the ongoing state of emergency in the 3 states of the Northeast Nigeria that were designed to end the menace of Boko Haram in the Northern Nigeria will have a strong political implication against the second term ambition of President Jonathan Goodluck in the 2015 presidential elections especially in the Northern Nigeria. The bitter truth about the whole matter is simply this:President Goodluck can never win another presidential election again in Nigeria if that election will be free, fair, transparent and with the strong support of the entire South-South and the South-East only. If the whole North and the entire South- West will decide politically to go for the opposition APC in 2015, then, President Jonathan Goodluck will be the big loser to watch out for. Politics is simply a game of numbers. About 8 million votes out of the President Jonathan's 22 million votes in 2011 presidential election came mainly from the South-West. General Buhari's 12 million votes came entire from the core North. President Jonathan Goodluck is now in the most difficult and the most challenging phase of his political life. His maths at the moment does not add up very well on the Nigerian political terrain. As the year 2015 draws closer, time only will determine the final outcome of 2015 presidential election in Nigeria" -Sunday Iwalaiye.