"THE POLITICAL ODDS AGAINST THE REELECTION OF GOODLUCK JONATHAN IN 2015"

The easy reelection of President Jonathan Goodluck of Nigeria back to the Aso Rock villa on March 28, 2015 in a free, fair, transparent, credible and all-inclusive election is a typical daunting task. The year 2011 that this President was new on the national political stage of Nigeria is very different from the year 2015 when most Nigerians now know the real Jonathan Goodluck in his true nature. This President promised Nigerians heaven on earth if he was elected into power in 2011. But four years later in 2015, these electioneering promises remained unfulfilled by this President who is now seeking a second term in office this month. Time and events of the last five years and nine months in the governance of Nigeria and under the watch of this President have both changed, shaped and defined his presidency clearly to the Nigerian voters who will determine his fate in the next two weeks. The electorates that will be voting in 2015 are now in a better position in the year 2015 than in the year 2011 to make a well informed political decision with their votes this month.
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President Jonathan Goodluck of Nigeria

This President is running for his reelection with a political party, the PDP that is no longer politcally intact today like the same PDP that he won his presidency with in 2011. The PDP has lost the speaker of the House of Representatives, five state governors, several members of the national and state assemblies and party leaders at the national, state and local levels to the main opposition party, the APC. The political landscape in 2011 is now totally different from that of 2015, In 2011, this President ran against many smaller and very weak political parties that their support bases did not cut across the entire Nigerian federation. Today in 2015, this President will be running against the united opposition parties, the APC that now has national spread and massive support base across Nigeria. The failure of this President in his war against the Boko Haram insurgency in the North-East region of Nigeria despite the yearly billions of dollar that were allocated for the defense of Nigeria is a political determinant of the fate of this President this month. The international scandal that surrounded the kidnapping of the over 200 school girls at Chibok by Boko Haram and the daily bombings of innocent Nigerians that have now claimed about 15,000 souls and internally displaced over 2 million Nigerians are the huge political baggages in the 2015 election that this President can never sweep under the carpet. He will pay dearly for it at the polls in the Northern Nigeria on March 28, 2015.

The recent global drop in the price of oil that has resulted in the quick declining of the Nigeria's economy and the rapid collapse of the Naira are part of the legacies of this President for his reelection in 2015. This President has also failed to address the double-digit youth unemployment rate and the provision of electricity for Nigerians as he promised in 2011. His government has failed woefully to address the issue of official corruption in Nigeria. The government of this President has been clouded with many financial scandals, such as, the missing $20 billion oil money, the billion of dollar in the Malibu oil deal, oil subsidy scandal, allegations of corruption against the members of this President's executive council as well as the top public officials in his government. 

The most important political development against the reelection of this President is the fact that General Muhammadu Buhari of the main opposition party, the APC has made deep political inroad ito the traditionally PDP strongholds in the North-Central, South-East, South-South and South-West regions of Nigeria in 2015. General Buhari has also succeeded in penetrating deeply into the Christian South and also expanded his political base deeper into the Muslim North. The truth is that Nigeria today is now worse off in every area of human developmental indice than the Nigeria that was handed over in 2011 to this President to govern. Finally, the most important question that every Nigerian voter must answer before they cast their votes in 2015 is this:Are Nigerians truly better off today than in 2011? Nigerian voters may answer this question on March 28, 2015.