Thursday, October 3, 2013

"I SEE THE LIKELY OUTCOME OF THE ONGOING POLITICAL STALEMATE IN WASHINGTON, DC"

In any political fight for power, policies or ideologies. A winner must always emerge at the end of the day, no matter how tough, how long, how furious and how contentious the politics of the battle may be in all reality. The battle over this OBAMACARE that is now ranging between the House-led GOP members, who are bent on defunding this health care law or delay its full implementation for a year and the Democratic controlled senate that is ready to fight to the last drop of their political life or career to see this health care law fully implemented in America. The first outcome of this initial political tussle is the federal government shutdown for the first time in 17 years and on its third day with both sides of the political divide not ready to back down or to compromise. The federal government of America is also losing about $12.5 million a day and over 800,000 federal employees are now furloughed. 

The two biggest questions in this ongoing political stalemate are simply these:(i). Which political party will blink first? and (ii). Which political party will emerge as the true winner of this political war of ideology? The answers are clearly visible for a number of reasons I have stated below:(i). Firstly, the political struggle to give all Americans an affordable health care has been the central political agenda of the democratic party for nearly 60 years. The last 7 democratic presidents of America have all attempted to pass this political agenda in the United States Congress without any headway. President Barack Obama successfully passed this affordable health care into law through the same United States Congress in the early years of his presidency. This Obamacare was challenged by the GOP in the Supreme Court of America and it was upheld. This Obamacare was the central campaign issue or message in the 2012 presidential election and the American voters reelected President Barack Obama on this Obamacare. This Obamacare is the biggest political achievement, the most pronounced signature tune or the enduring legacy of President Barack Obama's historical presidency which he will never sell out to the political pressure that is coming from the Tea Party ideologues of the GOP House members.

(ii). Secondly, this Obamacare is now officially accessible to any American without health care coverage and millions of Americans have already visited the website of this health care program to sign up for it just 3 days into its full implementation. President Barack Obama will never cancel the Obamacare that is now popularly embraced by the millions of Americans without health care insurance. To do this is going to be the biggest political disaster for the presidency. (iii). Thirdly, the entire Democratic Party members of both Houses are all united with one political voice behind the Obamacare and they are not ready either today or tomorrow to support its defunding or its delay by the GOP. (iv). Fourthly, the federal government of America cannot be shutdown perpetually and be allowed to default on its international financial obligations around the world as well as to destroy the gains of this economic recovery by the political demand of the GOP House members over the Obamacare. The GOP will eventually have to give up their unreasonable political demand on this Obamacare shortly. (v). Fifthly, the GOP House members as of today are all heavily divided along three distinct political ideologies despite their united front against the Obamacare. The House GOP members are The Tea Party ideologues, the moderate conservatives and the Christian religious rights advocates. I predict that in the next few days or weeks to come, the political stalemate in the United States Congress will be amicably resolved. How is it going to be done? I see some of these moderate conservative GOP House members and a handful of the Christian religious rights abandoning the House Speaker John Boehner and the Tea Party members of their House Caucus to work with the Democrats by putting this American nation and her citizens above their political party or agenda.

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