Saturday, November 15, 2014

"THE MOST IMPORTANT POLITICAL LESSON FOR APC IN 2015 IN NIGERIA"

The opposition party in Nigeria, the APC should learn a quick lesson from the way presidential campaigns and elections are run in America by the two main political parties, the Democrat and the Republican. America's electorates from the 50 states of the union are divided into 3 voting blocs, blue, red and swing states. The blues states are traditionally for Democrats and the red states are solidly for Republicans. The candidates of both parties always campaign to win votes in those swing states that can go either side and will always decide the winner of the White House.

As it is in Nigeria today, the North-East is for APC, the North-West is for APC, the North-Central is a battleground between the PDP and the APC, the South-South is for PDP and the South-East is for PDP. The swing region in this 2015 presidential election that will determine the next occupant of the Aso Rock is the South-West. Bola Tinubu and his APC governors from the most important region of Nigeria in the 2015 presidential election are the principal deciders of the future of the APC in 2015, either in the Aso Rock villa or not. The largest votes are in the North-West, North-East and South-West of Nigeria.

General Buhari needs two things to win that election. General Buhari needs 25% of the votes in 8 or 9 more states, mainly from Lagos, Ogun, Oyo, Ekiti, Ondo, Osun, Edo, Rivers and Delta. Buhari will also need to win the highest votes in that election which is practically possible from the votes from the South-West, North-East and North-West going for him. Buhari got his 12 million votes in the 2011 presidential election mainly from the North-West, North-East and North-Central and had 25% of the votes mainly from the 16 Northern states of Nigeria.


If Bola Tinubu will not sell out this time around like he did in 2011 and will put the structure of APC in place in the South-West. Buhari and APC will make history from two fronts in 2015, firstly, as the first opposition party to win the presidential election in Nigeria and secondly, as the only Nigerian that contested four consecutive times before winning the presidency of Nigeria. I hope APC will learn one or two simple lessons from this simple political analysis. Time will surely tell. #‎ThePoliticalLessonForAPCIn2015 

Friday, November 7, 2014

"THE AMERICAN GOP SHOULD NOT CELEBRATE THEIR ELECTORAL VICTORY YET"

The GOP that now controls the majority in the two chambers of the US Congress should never forget that their majorities in both houses are not two-third of the membership of the two houses. The green pen of President Barack Obama can easily veto any bill that is passed into law that is not in line with this President's agendas for America. This President is also empowered constitutionally to use his executive power to do things for America without the US Congress. The best way forward for the next two years of the remaining tenure of this President is for the GOP to play a politics of compromise or give-and-take.

Firstly, Obama will never in this world allow the GOP to repeal the health care bill (Obamacare) that is the main signature tune of the achievement of his presidency. Secondly, this President will not also allow the GOP to refuse to do something about the broken immigration law of America without using his executive power to reform our immigration crisis. Thirdly, this President cares about his legacies and he will never allow himself to be made redundant or a lame-duck- President who will not be able to do anything for America for the remaining two years of his presidency.

Fourthly, the GOP should remember that the last Tuesday midterm elections were all local elections in which Obama was not on the ballot directly. This President is never going to be on the ballot again in 2016 for any reelection and he has nothing to really lose. He won both of his elections in 2008 and 2012 respectively. American voters approved his work and gave him the mandate twice. Lastly, President Obama will also do everything within his constitutional power to prepare the White House for the next Democratic President in 2016. The Impeachment of this President is practically impossible and it will be the biggest political suicide for the GOP. This President has not committed any high crimes or impeachable offenses in office to date‪#‎PoliticsIsAGameOfNumberAndAlsoLocal‬

Saturday, November 1, 2014

"THE FUTURE OF DEMOCRACY IS BLEAK IN MOST AFRICAN COUNTRIES"

We Africans love to deceive ourselves in our western type of democratic governance. We suppress opposition parties. We do not believe in the principle of separation of powers as well as checks and balances. We conduct and sanction fraudulent elections as the authentic elections. We put provisions in our constitution that allow our public officials to live above the laws of our nations. We muzzle the press, judiciary and free speech thinking that our democracies have any bright future under those anti- democratic practices and the violation of the rule of law. The recent political development in Burkina Faso that removed the 27 years dictatorship of Blaise Campaore from power is a direct product of our pseudo-democracy. Military will always come back to power in Africa until the day that our democracies in Africa are truly people representative in all ramifications ‪#‎TheFutureOfDemocracyInAfrica‬

"NIGERIANS SHOULD VOTE PRESIDENT JONATHAN GOODLUCK OUT OF OFFICE IN 2015"

President Jonathan Goodluck of Nigeria has failed woefully in almost all the parameters that are globally used to measure any good government in any country of the world today. The Nigeria's national economy is growing only on the government paper and failing to reduce the double-digit unemployment rate and the 80% poverty rate. Today, tens of millions of the hardworking Nigerians are still earning poverty wage, the value of the Nigerian Naira remains fluid and unstable against the international currencies. The inflation rate on goods and services is rising, the nation's foreign reserve is rapidly depleting and her foreign debt is bloating up again.

The insecurity to life and properties of all Nigerians has reached the lowest and the worst level in decades. The war against Boko Haram that is supported with huge yearly budget is a colossal failure. This government has failed to provide Nigerians with electricity, basic social services, modern and affordable health care, functioning 21st century public education and the modernization of our old and overcrowded national infrastructures.
The government has remained passive and indifferent in its fight against the menace of the official corruption and the mammoth state resource mismanagement. This is a government that is functioning on many unresolved financial scandals, such as, Malibu oil deal, petroleum subsidy fraud, $20 billion missing oil money from the NNPC and extra-budgetary spendings that violate the financial regulations and laws of Nigeria.
Any Nigerian who plans to vote for this President in 2015 is either the Nigerian is benefitting from the ongoing corruption and the mismanagement of this country or the Nigerian is sentimental with religious bigotry, ethnic loyalty and geopolitical politics that will never make Nigeria a great nation in all reality‪#‎NigeriaAnd2015PresidentialElection‬

Saturday, October 18, 2014

"GENERAL BUHARI'S HONESTY THREATENS THE POLITICAL STATUS QUO IN NIGERIA"

Some Nigerians will always amaze me on daily basis. They are so critical about the personal decision of General Muhammadu Buhari to approach his bank in Kaduna and borrowed N27 million to pay for his party's presidential nomination form. Firstly, General Buhari is honest and truthful with Nigerians about the source of this money. Secondly, General Buhari does not have this money personally as a former Head of State, ex-Chairman of the defunct Petroleum Trust Fund (PTF), former federal commissioner of petroleum ministry, former Chairman of the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC), former state military governor of the North Eastern State and a retired Major-General of the Nigerian Army. 
Thirdly, General Buhari does not want this money to be paid by one of the richest Nigerians and then hijack his presidency for the expected returned favor. Fourthly, General Buhari by his status in Nigeria as a former Head of State with a regular monthly pension, a personal house in Kaduna and in Abuja plus a long-standing personal relationship with this bank can be trusted as a good creditor by this bank. Bank managers can use their personal discretion, the long-standing relationships and the credit history of their customers to make those financial decisions to borrow them money as loans, to increase their requests for line of credit or bank overdraft.
The manager of the Gambian Chase bank in Serrekunda borrowed me D10,000 ($1000) in 2001 as a long-standing and a reliable customer of this bank when I needed that money to travel for a professional conference in the United States. In conclusion, what General Buhari has done is what is called transparency and accountability from a leader in the public life. How many Nigerian public elected officials and those influential religious leaders including the sitting President Jonathan Goodluck have ever declared their personal assets and disclosed how they became the overnight super-rich Nigerians? In conclusion, Buhari's integrity, openness and honesty threaten his political rivals and their supporters by giving them those sleepless nights‪#‎BuhariForThePresidentOfNigeriaIn2015‬ 

Saturday, October 11, 2014

"LINDA IKEJI:THE PLAGIARIST-BLOGGER IS LUCK TO BE LIVING IN NIGERIA IN 2014"

Nigeria is a lawless country where the intellectual property rights and the copyright laws are never enforced in all reality. In the United States, many university and college professors have been demoted and dismissed over proven cases of plagiarism. America's universities have canceled students' college courses and revoked those awarded degrees over the established cases of academic fraud or dishonesty. Big businesses in America have been fined heavily by courts of law over their violation of those copyrights laws in their business practices and transactions. The international journalist and Time magazine editor-at-large as well as the CNN host of the program GPS 360, Fareed Zakaria was suspended in 2012 from both places for a month after admitting to lifting parts of a story from the New Yorker newspaper. A United States Senator John Walsh of Montana resigned recently from the senate over an allegation of plagiarism in his master's degree thesis and the U.S. Army War College has now officially revoked his master's degree after an investigation into plagiarism allegation was established. Linda Ikeji was reported to have attributed the taking down of her blog by Google as an act of envy and jealousy from her Nigerian rival bloggers and then went ahead to put the holy name of God in her dirty business of intellectual fraud and dishonesty that allow her to continue to profit and to make name for herself in the blogosphere on the ideas, sweat and handwork of others‪#‎PlaigarismIsAnIntellectualFraudAndDishonesty‬

Friday, October 10, 2014

"EBOLA IS A GLOBAL THREAT"

I am personally very worried for the future and the economies of the three West African nations of Sierra Leone, Liberia and Guinea that are currently facing the Ebola virus disease epidemic. This disease that first started in the rural areas of these three African countries have now reached their capital cities where most of their populations live. The health care infrastructures of these countries are outdated, inadequate and are now fully overwhelmed.

The national economies of these nations are now rapidly collapsing. The international tourism to Sierra Leone, Liberia and Guinea has now come to the final halt. The major international airlines have stopped flying to Liberia, Guinea and Sierra Leone as well as the International shipping companies. The major hotels are now empty. The importation of goods and services are heavily down. The local farming and domestic food production are both speedily declining. International financial help is now needed in these countries more than before. 

The future of these countries depends on how they win this ongoing war against Ebola that has now officially claimed the life of 4,000 citizens of these countries at the moment and with more infections happening on daily basis. If this deadly Ebola disease is not defeated once and for all by the global efforts, it can spread quickly to the entire world like an ill wind that blows no nation any good at the end of the day‪#‎EbolaThreatensTheFutureOfTheWorld‬